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What to expect from the March jobs report
  + stars: | 2024-04-04 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +8 min
ET, when the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases its March jobs report. February brought the unemployment rate within spitting distance of 4%, rising to 3.9% from 3.7% in January. What could come from Friday’s jobs reportFebruary’s jobs report came as yet another surprise to economists. For instance, last month January’s job gains were revised down to 229,000 from the blowout 353,000 that kicked off 2024. The unemployment rate went up by half a percentage point from the post-pandemic low of 3.4% last April.
Persons: lockdowns, it’s, Michael Strain, , February’s, Andy Challenger, , Allison Joyce, Aaron Sojourner, they’ve, Sojourner, Luke Sharrett Organizations: New, New York CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics, American Enterprise Institute, BLS, Federal, US, Challenger, , Department of Labor, Bloomberg, . Upjohn Institute, Employment Research, CNN, Federal Reserve, Getty Locations: New York, outplacement
Remote workers and middle managers are often more vulnerable to layoffs, experts say. Remote workers who are anxious about job security should return to the office, one expert said. Still, there's likely to be more cuts on the way, experts say, and remote workers and middle managers may be prime targets. Middle managers are also vulnerable, experts say. Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg said in 2023: "I don't think you want a management structure that's just managers managing managers, managing managers, managing managers, managing the people who are doing the work."
Persons: , It's, there's, Ariel Schur, Andy Challenger, Mark Zuckerberg, Daniel Zhao, they're, Daniel Keum Organizations: Service, PayPal, ABS Staffing Solutions, Bloomberg, Wall Street, Meta, Columbia Business School
Remote workers are 35% more likely to be fired than their peers, The Wall Street Journal reported. At the same time, those who work from home are also more likely to quit their jobs, per The Journal. The analysis, conducted by employment data provider Live Data Technologies, found fully remote employees are laid off 35% more often than their peers who work in-office or hybrid roles, The Wall Street Journal reported. AdvertisementThough more likely to be laid off, remote employees — who see flexible work as equivalent to an 8% raise — are also more likely to quit. The analysis cited by The Journal found that 12% of remote workers quit their jobs in 2023 and began a new role within two months, compared to 9% of hybrid and in-office employees.
Persons: , Andy Challenger, Danielle Organizations: Street Journal, Service, Technologies, University of Pittsburgh, Challenger, The
Last year, U.S. companies announced 55% more CEO changes than in 2022, according to outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas. Boards didn't want to make changes, CEOs themselves didn't want to leave. The retail industry in 2023 saw 52 CEO departures, its second-highest number since Challenger, Gray & Christmas started tracking them, and more than double the 21 CEO turnovers in 2022, according to the firm's data. It was below 2019's record 63 CEO departures in the industry. In Korn Ferry's separate analysis of retail CEO turnover in 2023, the executive recruitment firm found 57% of new chief executives named in the industry last year were already working for the company they will lead.
Persons: Michelle Gass, Levi Strauss, Macy's, Andy Challenger, Challenger, Korn Organizations: Kohls Corp, National Retail Federation Inc, Challenger Locations: New York, U.S
The Tesla (TSLA.O) CEO told advertisers who have fled his social media platform X over antisemitic content to "Go fuck yourself!" Several business communications analysts said they couldn't remember a similar case of an executive publicly cursing at their customers. Musk, Tesla and X did not respond to requests for comment. Musk apologized for it and then cursed and dismissed the concerns of the advertisers fleeing the platform. Cappelli said Musk wishes to see himself as a rock star, not a business leader who needs to take account of many constituencies.
Persons: Elon Musk, Porte, Gonzalo Fuentes, It's, Andy Challenger, Challenger, Michael O'Leary, Jim Hagedorn, Sam Zell, Musk, Yehuda Baruch, Baruch, Peter Cappelli, Cappelli, Ross Kerber, Lisa Shumaker Organizations: SpaceX, Tesla, Twitter, Viva Technology, Porte de, REUTERS, Ryanair, Boeing, Scotts Miracle, University of Southampton, University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School, Thomson Locations: Paris, France
Experts say a reassignment is often a good sign and may mean a company wants to keep you. Challenger told Insider that over the past few years, companies focused on reassigning workers internally because it was hard to find replacements amid the labor shortage. AdvertisementAdvertisement"It's usually a company saying, 'Hey, we don't have this role anymore, but we want to keep you,'" Challenger told Insider. "Just the act of reassignment does not signal that a company wants you gone," Julia Pollak, the chief economist at ZipRecruiter, told Insider. Yolanda M. Owens, a career coach who works with platforms like the Muse, told Insider by email that companies can also use reassignments to keep the power dynamics in their favor.
Persons: Andy Challenger, they've, Julia Pollak, Pollak, Yolanda M, Owens, Challenger, " Pollak Organizations: Service, Street Journal, Challenger, Research Locations: Wall, Silicon
But markets and economists are expecting another solid jobs report Friday morning. And while economic data isn’t typically the sexiest of topics, the government’s jobs report has in recent months delivered plenty of excitement and its fair share of surprises. Last July, for example, the US economy added 568,000 jobs — more than double the 250,000 that economists had expected. Come Friday, the government’s jobs report for this July might not end up being quite so shocking. In fact, it could be relatively humdrum: A slight cooling in job growth, and unemployment holding steady.
Persons: Minneapolis CNN — Fitch, , Daniel Zhao, Refinitiv, Chris Rupkey, That’s, Michael Gapen, Janet Yellen, Glassdoor’s Zhao, ” Zhao, there’s, ” Andy Challenger, Challenger, ” Gus Faucher, they’re, Becky Frankiewicz, Organizations: Minneapolis CNN, Glassdoor, Bank of America, ” Bank of America, Business, Conference Board, Fitch, Challenger, “ Companies, Labor Department, , PNC Financial Services Group, CNN, Labor Statistics, BLS, “ Employers, ManpowerGroup Locations: Minneapolis, United States
Minneapolis CNN —Despite Tuesday’s credit rating downgrade amid concerns about the challenges facing the United States, markets and economists are expecting another solid jobs report on Friday. And while economic data isn’t typically the sexiest of topics, the monthly jobs report has in recent months delivered plenty of excitement and its fair share of surprises. Come Friday, the government’s jobs report for this July might not end up being quite so shocking. In fact, it could be relatively humdrum: A slight cooling in job growth, and unemployment holding steady. The broader economic scorecard for the United States makes the downgrade all the more “bizarre” and puzzling, noted top economists, including Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen.
Persons: , Daniel Zhao, Refinitiv, Chris Rupkey, That’s, Michael Gapen, Janet Yellen, Glassdoor’s Zhao, ” Zhao, there’s, ” Andy Challenger, Challenger, Gus Faucher, they’re, Becky Frankiewicz, Organizations: Minneapolis CNN, Glassdoor, Bank of America, ” Bank of America, Fitch, Challenger, “ Companies, PNC Financial Services Group, CNN, Labor Statistics, BLS, “ Employers, ManpowerGroup Locations: Minneapolis, United States
More news jobs have already been cut this year than in all of 2022 and 2021, per a firm that tracks layoffs. Industry experts explain the three media trends that could replace traditional sports journalism. Wiacek said that the 18- to 30-year-old demographic is key for traditional media organizations, yet the hardest to reach. "The more traditional media outlets are trying to find ways of attracting that audience," Wiacek said. Hanlon said team communications are essential for growing leagues like the NWSL that can't wait around for classic media coverage to pour in, especially in local markets.
Persons: Andy Challenger, It's, Challenger's, Challenger, Conrad Wiacek, Wiacek, Pat McAfee, CJ McCollum, McAfee, famer David Ortiz, JJ Redick, isn't, Tim Hanlon, Hanlon, They're Organizations: ESPN, New York Times, Sports Illustrated, Warner Bros, The Athletic, NFL Media, Times, Los Angeles Times, Industry, Sports, YouTube, Indianapolis Colts, NBA, famer, Leagues, MLS, LA Times, Associated Press, Minor League Baseball Locations: FanDuel, pickleball
Industry experts explain the three media trends that could replace traditional sports journalism. But Challenger and other experts say the demand for sports content isn't going anywhere: it's just going to look, and sound, a little different. Wiacek said that the 18- to 30-year-old demographic is key for traditional media organizations, yet the hardest to reach. "The more traditional media outlets are trying to find ways of attracting that audience," Wiacek said. Hanlon said team communications are essential for growing leagues like the NWSL that can't wait around for classic media coverage to pour in, especially in local markets.
Persons: Andy Challenger, It's, Challenger's, Challenger, Conrad Wiacek, Wiacek, Pat McAfee, CJ McCollum, McAfee, famer David Ortiz, JJ Redick, isn't, Tim Hanlon, Hanlon, They're Organizations: ESPN, New York Times, Sports Illustrated, Warner Bros, The Athletic, NFL Media, Times, Los Angeles Times, Industry, Sports, YouTube, Indianapolis Colts, NBA, famer, Leagues, MLS, LA Times, Associated Press, Minor League Baseball Locations: FanDuel, pickleball
Minneapolis CNN —When the June jobs report lands on Friday, it’s all but certain to show that the US labor market has added jobs for 30 consecutive months. And this year’s monthly average of 314,000 net job gains far exceeds what was seen before the pandemic, including during that 100-month stretch post-Great Recession. Sarah House, senior economist at Wells Fargo, said she’s expecting a “gradual cooling” to wash over the labor market. “The jobs market is not collapsing,” she said. The timing of the Fourth of July holiday resulted in a load of labor market data landing within 24 hours of the government’s monthly jobs report.
Persons: Sarah House, she’s, , wilder, Andy Challenger, ” Aaron Terrazas Organizations: Minneapolis CNN, Federal Reserve, of Labor Statistics, Labor, Challenger, Fed Locations: Minneapolis, Wells Fargo
"My belief is that we don't get inflation down to 2% without a recession," said Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate. As the economy fluctuates, experts say there are several key risk areas that consumers may want to keep an eye on. That still leaves about 1.6 open jobs to every available worker, which is "very good," according to Andy Challenger, senior vice president at outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas. Pricey car loan 'quickly becomes untenable'Auto loan delinquencies are already rising, particularly for borrowers with weaker credit profiles, McBride noted. In 2022, consumers paid $133.1 billion in credit card interest and fees, a 23.1% increase from the estimated $108.1 billion they paid in 2021.
In many areas of the country, particularly southern states that have not adopted higher wage laws, Walmart’s starting wage often serves as the local minimum wage. Amazon (AMZN) and Target (TGT) have a $15 minimum wage, while Costco (COST) starts at $17 an hour. Walmart is trying to keep pace with rivals as well as cities and states that have been raising their minimum wages. The federal minimum wage has been $7.25 an hour since 2009. Washington State has the highest minimum wage in the country at $15.74.
A fter a year of layoffs across media and entertainment companies, more cuts could come in 2023 .. A pull-back of advertising tied to the declining economic outlook has affected all media. From tech diruptors like Netflix to news stalwarts like the Washington Post, a range of companies are impacted. In the blink of an eye, the media and tech jobs market has gone from hot to not. Discovery and Paramount Global that are racing to make their streaming businesses profitable to digital media companies such as BuzzFeed and Vice that are trying to bolster their valuations. Here are 15 media and entertainment companies that have laid off staff as of December 2022:
A fter a year of layoffs across media and entertainment companies, more cuts could come in 2023 .. A pull-back of advertising tied to the declining economic outlook has affected all media. In the blink of an eye, the media and tech jobs market has gone from hot to not. More than 3,300 media jobs were lost through November this year, according to Challenger, Gray & Christmas data — though this was down from an unprecedented 2020, when Challenger data showed 30,000 media sector jobs were lost. Discovery and Paramount Global that are racing to make their streaming businesses profitable to digital media companies such as BuzzFeed and Vice that are trying to bolster their valuations. Here are 15 media and entertainment companies that have laid off staff as of December 2022:
The tech industry accounts for about one-quarter of this year's job cuts, Challenger data show. The automotive industry has had 30,669 job cuts announced, compared with 10,277 through November 2021. And real estate has had 7,919 cuts announced this year, compared with 2,762 in 2021 year-to-date. "We've seen a lot of job cuts around mortgage origination and fintech firms in mortgages. U.S.-based employers announced 76,835 cuts in November alone, more than double the 33,843 cuts announced in October and four-times the number of cuts announced last November, Challenger data show.
They are increasingly looking to layoffs as a way to preserve capital, alongside other measures, such as hiring freezes. Finance chiefs play a key role in this by determining which costs to cut and setting companies’ financial targets, said advisers who work with companies during staffing cuts. Tech business HP Inc., ride-hailing company Lyft Inc. and tool-and-appliance maker Stanley Black & Decker Inc. have announced layoffs in recent months. Finance chiefs are increasingly part of the initial discussions about whether job cuts are needed, said Hardik Sheth, a partner at Boston Consulting Group, a management consulting firm. Some employees at Twitter, which recently cut roughly half of its workforce, are now pushing back against the dismissals.
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